Saturday, January 03, 2009

Tulips, Perpetually Positive Returns and Other Manias

From Wikimedia Commons comes this image of an allegorical painting of the Dutch tulip mania, c. 1640. Flora, goddess of flowers, rides on a wind-blown wagon with a two-faced woman, drunks and money-changers, followed by other low-lifes, all headed for ruin in the sea.


In a WSJ column, Why We Fall for Financial Scams, psychologist Stephen Greenspan cites "the tendency of humans to model their actions -- especially when dealing with matters they don't fully understand -- on the behavior of other humans." Greenspan touches upon a number of financial crazes through the ages, including an inheritance fraud from the 1920s involving the supposed will of Sir Francis Drake.

Professor Greenspan has written a book, Annals of Gullibility. More recently he inadvertently invested some of his life savings with, yes, Bernard Madoff!

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