Sunday, June 20, 2010

Would you like some salt with that?

I read JLM's post below, followed the link and was struck by the following paragraph in the WaPo article:
For each case of elder fraud reported to authorities, an estimated four or more go unreported, according to MetLife. Appallingly, family members and caregivers are the perpetrators in 55 percent of the cases. 

So, for each 100 elderly persons we know that there are 20 reported frauds.  For each one of these, there are four more frauds (or more), so that comes to 80 unreported frauds.  So at a minimum, 100% of all the elderly are fraud victims.

I am not trying to argue that fraud against the elderly isn't a problem, but such unexamined exaggerations are not helpful. I'm surprised that the WaPo editors let this one by (or am I?).

Are there bright lines around the "fraud" by family members or caregivers, so we know what we are talking about?  When the allegation of fraud incidence is  that high, I wonder just how the crime is  defined.

So, let's say I'm taking care of my elderly parent, and having seen all this reporting I've decided to get more aggressive, more protective.  But that's also a red flag, according to the article, and now I will be a suspect.
The professionals are encouraged to probe and pay attention to any changes in an elderly person's behavior or the presence of a caregiver who appears excessively protective or dominating. 
No easy answers.

2 comments:

JLM said...

Good statistical catch, though MetLife would probably question your assumption. Who says no elderly person is subject to more than one fraud? Maybe Aunt Em is being ripped off by her broker, her caregiver, the guy fixing the roof and her nephew.

Jim Gust said...

In fairness to Met Life, their estimate was independent of the other study, the article does not make clear what Met Life's base line was. But the author implies that the baseline is the 20%, which an astute editor would have caught.

Yes, Aunt Em could suffer multiple frauds.

If Dorothy fails to kick in her share of the grocery money, is that a fraud, or just additional nontaxable compensation to the caregiver? What if Dorothy has to sell the family jewels to meed Em's nursing home costs? What if Dorothy takes a commission for arranging the sale? At some point we will get to fraud, but I'm afraid it's not a bright line.